Arbeitspapier

The Heterogeneous Impact of Brexit: Early Indications from the FTSE

The UK’s decision to leave the EU is surrounded by several studies simulating its potential effects. Alternatively, we examine expectations embodied in stock returns using a two-part estimation process. While most firms’ prices fell, there was considerable heterogeneity in their relative changes. We show that this heterogeneity can be explained by the firm’s global value chain, with heavily European firms doing relatively worse. For firms with few imported intermediates, this was partially offset by a greater Sterling depreciation. These changes were primarily in the first two days and highly persistent. Understanding these movements gives a better understanding Brexit’s potential effects.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6478

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economic Integration
Multinational Firms; International Business
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Subject
global value chain
event study
Brexit

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Davies, Ronald B.
Studnicka, Zuzanna
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Davies, Ronald B.
  • Studnicka, Zuzanna
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2017

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