Arbeitspapier
Why Does It Always Rain on Me? A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Precipitation in Austria
It is popular belief that the weather is bad more frequently on weekends than on other days of the week and this is often perceived to be associated with an increased chance of rain. In fact, the meteorological literature does report some evidence for such human-induced weekly cycles although these findings are not undisputed. To contribute to this discussion, a modern data-driven approach using structured additive regression models is applied to a newly available high-quality data set for Austria. The analysis investigates how an ordered response of rain intensities is influenced by a (potential) weekend effect while adjusting for spatio-temporal structure using spatially varying effects of overall level and seasonality patterns. The underlying data are taken from the HOMSTART project which provides daily precipitation quantities over a period of more than 60 years and a dense net of more than 50 meteorological stations all across Austria.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Working Papers in Economics and Statistics ; No. 2011-25
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
- Thema
-
rainfall
generalized additive model
structured additive regression model
ordered probit model
HOMSTART
BayesX
Wetter
Prognose
Probit-Modell
Österreich
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Umlauf, Nikolaus
Mayr, Georg
Messner, Jakob
Zeileis, Achim
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
University of Innsbruck, Research Platform Empirical and Experimental Economics (eeecon)
- (wo)
-
Innsbruck
- (wann)
-
2011
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ
Datenpartner
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Umlauf, Nikolaus
- Mayr, Georg
- Messner, Jakob
- Zeileis, Achim
- University of Innsbruck, Research Platform Empirical and Experimental Economics (eeecon)
Entstanden
- 2011