Arbeitspapier

Why Does It Always Rain on Me? A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Precipitation in Austria

It is popular belief that the weather is bad more frequently on weekends than on other days of the week and this is often perceived to be associated with an increased chance of rain. In fact, the meteorological literature does report some evidence for such human-induced weekly cycles although these findings are not undisputed. To contribute to this discussion, a modern data-driven approach using structured additive regression models is applied to a newly available high-quality data set for Austria. The analysis investigates how an ordered response of rain intensities is influenced by a (potential) weekend effect while adjusting for spatio-temporal structure using spatially varying effects of overall level and seasonality patterns. The underlying data are taken from the HOMSTART project which provides daily precipitation quantities over a period of more than 60 years and a dense net of more than 50 meteorological stations all across Austria.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Papers in Economics and Statistics ; No. 2011-25

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
Thema
rainfall
generalized additive model
structured additive regression model
ordered probit model
HOMSTART
BayesX
Wetter
Prognose
Probit-Modell
Österreich

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Umlauf, Nikolaus
Mayr, Georg
Messner, Jakob
Zeileis, Achim
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Innsbruck, Research Platform Empirical and Experimental Economics (eeecon)
(wo)
Innsbruck
(wann)
2011

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Umlauf, Nikolaus
  • Mayr, Georg
  • Messner, Jakob
  • Zeileis, Achim
  • University of Innsbruck, Research Platform Empirical and Experimental Economics (eeecon)

Entstanden

  • 2011

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