Africa's lockdown dilemma: High poverty and low trust

Arbeitspapier

The primary policy response to suppress the spread of COVID-19 in high-income countries has been to lock down large sections of the population. However, there is growing unease that blindly replicating these policies might inflict irreparable damage to poor households and foment social unrest in developing countries. We investigate this concern using Afrobarometer data from 2019 for 30 sub-Saharan African countries. We create a multidimensional index of lockdown readiness based on living conditions and explore its relationship with forms of trust and the potential for social unrest. The index reveals that just 6.8 per cent of households overall and 12.2 per cent in urban areas meet all conditions for a lockdown. We further show that weak readiness is not offset by high levels of social trust, which can be vital for effective public health interventions. As such, strict lockdown policies may not only be difficult to enforce, but also heighten the risks of conflict.

Object Details

• ISBN: 978-92-9256-833-7
• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: WIDER Working Paper ; No. 2020/76

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft
• Subject: Afrika südlich der Sahara ; Africa south of the Sahara ; Armut ; Poverty

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Egger, Eva-Maria ; Jones, Sam ; Justino, Patricia ; Manhique, Ivan ; Santos, Ricardo
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
• (where): Helsinki
• (when): 2020

Further information

• DOI: doi:10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2020/833-7
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/229300
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET