Arbeitspapier
Modelling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility
The main purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effect of crude oil price on global fertilizer prices in both the mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models, including GARCH, EGARCH, and GJR models, are used to investigate the relationship between crude oil price and six global fertilizer prices. The empirical results from ARDL show that most fertilizer prices are significantly affected by the crude oil price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in other periods.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 13-024/III
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Agricultural Finance
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Financial Econometrics
- Thema
-
Fertilizer Price
Oil Price
Volatility
Ölpreis
Düngemittel
Preis
Volatilität
Kointegration
Welt
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Chen, Ping-Yu
Chang, Chia-Lin
Chen, Chi-Chung
McAleer, Michael
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Tinbergen Institute
- (wo)
-
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
- (wann)
-
2013
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Chen, Ping-Yu
- Chang, Chia-Lin
- Chen, Chi-Chung
- McAleer, Michael
- Tinbergen Institute
Entstanden
- 2013