Arbeitspapier

Consumption, housing collateral, and the Canadian business cycle

Using Bayesian methods, we estimate a small open economy model in which consumers face limits to credit determined by the value of their housing stock. The purpose of this paper is to quantify the role of collateralized household debt in the Canadian business cycle. Our findings show that the presence of borrowing constraints improves the performance of the model in terms of overall goodness of fit. In particular, the presence of housing collateral generates a positive correlation between consumption and house prices. Finally we find that housing collateral induced spillovers account for a large share of consumption growth during the housing market boom-bust cycle of the late 1980s.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2009-26

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Housing Demand
Subject
Business fluctuations and cycles
Credit and credit aggregates
Transmission of monetary policy
Immobilienmarkt
Immobilienpreis
Privater Haushalt
Kreditsicherung
Verschuldungsrestriktion
Gesamtwirtschaftlicher Konsum
Kleines-offenes-Land
Kanada

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Christensen, Ian
Corrigan, Paul
Mendicino, Caterina
Nishiyama, Shin-ichi
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2009

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2009-26
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Christensen, Ian
  • Corrigan, Paul
  • Mendicino, Caterina
  • Nishiyama, Shin-ichi
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2009

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