Artikel

The ex-ante aggregation of opinions under uncertainty

This paper presents an analysis of the problem of aggregating preference orderings under subjective uncertainty. Individual preferences, or opinions, agree on the ranking of risky prospects, but are quite general because we do not specify the perception of ambiguity or the attitude towards it. A convexity axiom for the ex-ante preference characterizes a (collective) decision rule that can be interpreted as a compromise between the utilitarian and the Rawlsian criteria. The former is characterized by the independence axiom as in Harsanyi (1955). Existing results are special cases of our representation theorems, which also allow us to interpret Segal's (1987) two-stage approach to ambiguity as the ex-ante aggregation of (Bayesian) future selves' opinions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Theoretical Economics ; ISSN: 1555-7561 ; Volume: 7 ; Year: 2012 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 535-570 ; New Haven, CT: The Econometric Society

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Analysis of Collective Decision-Making: General
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Thema
Aggregation of preferences
uncertainty

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Nascimento, Leandro
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
The Econometric Society
(wo)
New Haven, CT
(wann)
2012

DOI
doi:10.3982/TE896
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Nascimento, Leandro
  • The Econometric Society

Entstanden

  • 2012

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