Arbeitspapier

Discretion rather than rules: Equilibrium uniqueness and forward guidance with inconsistent optimal plans

New Keynesian economies with active interest rate rules gain equilibrium determinacy from the central bank's incredible off-equilibrium-path promises (Cochrane, 2011). We suppose instead that the central bank sets interest rate paths and occasionally has the discretion to change them. Private agents taking future central bank actions and their own best responses to them as given reduces the scope for self-fulfilling prophecies. With empirically-reasonable frequencies of central-bank reoptimization, the monetary-policy game has a unique Markov-perfect equilibrium wherein forward guidance influences current outcomes without displaying a forward-guidance puzzle.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2018-14

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
Monetary Policy
Thema
Monetary Policy
Open Mouth Operations
Quasi-Commitment
Ramsey Problem

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Campbell, Jeffrey R.
Weber, Jacob P.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
(wo)
Chicago, IL
(wann)
2018

DOI
doi:10.21033/wp-2018-14
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Campbell, Jeffrey R.
  • Weber, Jacob P.
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Entstanden

  • 2018

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