Arbeitspapier
Monetary normalizations and consumer credit: Evidence from Fed liftoff and online lending
On December 16th of 2015, the Fed initiated "liftoff", a critical step in the monetary normalization process. We use a unique panel dataset of 640,000 loan-hour observations to measure the impact of liftoff on interest rates, demand, and supply in the online primary market for uncollateralized consumer credit. We find that credit supply increased, reducing the spread by 16% and lowering the average interest rate by 16.9-22.6 basis points. Our findings are consistent with an investor-perceived reduction in default probabilities; and suggest that liftoff provided a strong, positive signal about the future solvency of borrowers.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 319
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Household Saving; Personal Finance
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Monetary Policy
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
- Thema
-
monetary normalization
monetary policy signaling
consumer loans
credit risk
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Bertsch, Christoph
Hull, Isaiah
Zhang, Xin
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Sveriges Riksbank
- (wo)
-
Stockholm
- (wann)
-
2017
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Bertsch, Christoph
- Hull, Isaiah
- Zhang, Xin
- Sveriges Riksbank
Entstanden
- 2017