Arbeitspapier

Monetary normalizations and consumer credit: Evidence from Fed liftoff and online lending

On December 16th of 2015, the Fed initiated "liftoff", a critical step in the monetary normalization process. We use a unique panel dataset of 640,000 loan-hour observations to measure the impact of liftoff on interest rates, demand, and supply in the online primary market for uncollateralized consumer credit. We find that credit supply increased, reducing the spread by 16% and lowering the average interest rate by 16.9-22.6 basis points. Our findings are consistent with an investor-perceived reduction in default probabilities; and suggest that liftoff provided a strong, positive signal about the future solvency of borrowers.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 319

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Household Saving; Personal Finance
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Monetary Policy
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Thema
monetary normalization
monetary policy signaling
consumer loans
credit risk

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bertsch, Christoph
Hull, Isaiah
Zhang, Xin
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Sveriges Riksbank
(wo)
Stockholm
(wann)
2017

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bertsch, Christoph
  • Hull, Isaiah
  • Zhang, Xin
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Entstanden

  • 2017

Ähnliche Objekte (12)