Rural-urban migration at high urbanization levels

Arbeitspapier

This study assesses the empirical relevance of the Harris-Todaro model at high levels of urbanization a feature that characterizes an increasing number of developing countries, which were largely rural when the model was created 50 years ago. Using data from Brazil, the paper compares observed and model-based predictions of the equilibrium urban employment rate of 449 cities and the rural regions that are the historic sources of their migrant populations. Little support is found in the data for the most basic version of the model. However, extensions that incorporate labor informality and housing markets have much better empirical traction. Harris-Todaro equilibrium relationships are relatively stronger among workers with primary but no high school education, and those relationships are more frequently found under certain conditions: when cities are relatively larger; and when associated rural areas are closer to the magnet city and populated to a greater degree by young adults, who are most likely to migrate.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: IDB Working Paper Series ; No. IDB-WP-1173

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Informal Labor Markets ; Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers ; Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure ; Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
• Subject: Harris-Todaro ; Rural-urban migration ; Urban unemployment ; Developing countries

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Busso, Matias ; Chauvin, Juan Pablo ; Herrera L., Nicolás
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
• (where): Washington, DC
• (when): 2020

Further information

• DOI: doi:10.18235/0002904
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/237468
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET