Arbeitspapier

Interest rates and the spatial polarization of housing markets

Rising within-country differences in house values are a much debated trend in the U.S. and internationally. Using new long-run regional data for 15 advanced economies, we first show that standard explanations linking growing price dispersion to rent dispersion are contradicted by an important stylized fact: rent dispersion has increased far less than price dispersion. We then propose a new explanation: a uniform decline in real risk-free interest rates can have heterogeneous spatial effects on house values. Falling real safe rates disproportionately push up prices in large agglomerations where initial rent-price ratios are low, leading to housing market polarization on the national level.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECONtribute Discussion Paper ; No. 212

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location: General
Thema
House prices
regional housing markets
spatial polarization

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Osswald do Amaral, Francisco
Dohmen, Martin
Kohl, Sebastian
Schularick, Moritz
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Reinhard Selten Institute (RSI)
(wo)
Bonn and Cologne
(wann)
2022

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Osswald do Amaral, Francisco
  • Dohmen, Martin
  • Kohl, Sebastian
  • Schularick, Moritz
  • University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Reinhard Selten Institute (RSI)

Entstanden

  • 2022

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