Arbeitspapier

Japanese foreign exchange intervention and the Yen/Dollar exchange rate: a simultaneous equations approach using realized volatility

We use realized volatility to study the influence of central bank interventions on the yen/dollar exchange rate. Realized volatility is a technical innovation that allows specifying a system of equations for returns, realized volatility, and interventions without endogeneity bias. We find that during the period 1995 through 1999, interventions of the Japanese monetary authorities did not have the desired effect with respect to the exchange rate level and we measure an increase in volatility associated with interventions. During the period 1999 through 2004, the estimations are consistent with successful interventions, both in depreciating the yen and in reducing exchange rate volatility.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 1766

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Central Banks and Their Policies
Foreign Exchange
International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
International Financial Markets

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hillebrand, Eric
Schnabl, Gunther
Ulu, Yasemin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hillebrand, Eric
  • Schnabl, Gunther
  • Ulu, Yasemin
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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