Arbeitspapier

Spending in social services in China: A multi-country analysis

In this paper, we simulate the effects of an increase in the levels of public spending in health care and social assistance in the Chinese economy, and examine its global effects, i.e., the effects on the main macroeconomic variables of seven regions of the world economy, namely, China, Japan, United States, European Union, Latin America, Asia‐Pacific and Rest of the World. Three different rules to finance the increase in public expenditure are considered. The empirical methodology makes use of a computable general equilibrium model, through an extension of the Global Trade Analysis Project model. The policy measure simulated led to either expansionary or contractionary effects on China’s activity levels, depending on whether the government deficit is left to increase, or if taxes are raised instead in order to offset it. While no sector seemed to be particularly hurt by this measure, trade flows were negatively affected, but this did not seem to have a strong influence on the rest of the world.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: GLO Discussion Paper ; No. 447

Classification
Wirtschaft
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
National Deficit; Surplus
Subject
Computable general equilibrium
Spending in social services
Global economy
China

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bajo-Rubio, Oscar
Gómez‐Plana, Antonio G.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Global Labor Organization (GLO)
(where)
Essen
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bajo-Rubio, Oscar
  • Gómez‐Plana, Antonio G.
  • Global Labor Organization (GLO)

Time of origin

  • 2020

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