Arbeitspapier

Extreme weather events and economic activity: The case of low water levels on the Rhine river

In this paper, we exploit exogenous variation in navigability of the Rhine river to analyze the impact of weather-related supply shocks on economic activity in Germany. Our analysis shows that low water levels lead to transportation disruptions that cause a significant and economically meaningful decrease of economic activity. In a month with 30 days of low water, industrial production in Germany declines by about 1 percent, ceteris paribus. Our analysis highlights the importance of extreme weather events for business cycle analysis and contributes to gauging the costs of extreme weather events in advanced economies. Furthermore, we provide a specific example for an idiosyncratic supply shock to a small sector that amplifies to an economically meaningful effect at the macroeconomic level.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 2155

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
Thema
Climate
extreme weather events
low water
supply shocks
business cycle effects

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ademmer, Martin
Jannsen, Nils
Mösle, Saskia
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Ademmer, Martin
  • Jannsen, Nils
  • Mösle, Saskia
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2020

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