Artikel

Statistical properties of estimators for the log-optimal portfolio

The best constant re-balanced portfolio represents the standard estimator for the log-optimal portfolio. It is shown that a quadratic approximation of log-returns works very well on a daily basis and a mean-variance estimator is proposed as an alternative to the best constant re-balanced portfolio. It can easily be computed and the numerical algorithm is very fast even if the number of dimensions is high. Some small-sample and the basic large-sample properties of the estimators are derived. The asymptotic results can be used for constructing hypothesis tests and for computing confidence regions. For this purpose, one should apply a finite-sample correction, which substantially improves the large-sample approximation. However, it is shown that the impact of estimation errors concerning the expected asset returns is serious. The given results confirm a general rule, which has become folklore during the last decades, namely that portfolio optimization typically fails on estimating expected asset returns.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Mathematical Methods of Operations Research ; ISSN: 1432-5217 ; Volume: 92 ; Year: 2020 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-32 ; Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Estimation: General
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Thema
Best constant re-balanced portfolio
Estimation risk
Growth-optimal portfolio
Log-optimal portfolio
Mean-variance optimization

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Frahm, Gabriel
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Springer
(wo)
Berlin, Heidelberg
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.1007/s00186-020-00701-1
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Frahm, Gabriel
  • Springer

Entstanden

  • 2020

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