Arbeitspapier

The Impact of Fiscal Governance on Bond Markets: Evidence from Late Budgets and State Government Borrowing Costs

Does fiscal governance affect government borrowing costs? We operationalize fiscal governance as the ability of governments to pass a budget on time and, using a unique data set on budget enactment dates, analyze the effect of such late budgets on government bond yield spreads. Based on a sample of 36 US states in the period 1988-1997, we estimate that a budget delay of 30 days has a long run impact on the yield spread between 2 and 10 basis points. States with sufficient liquidity in the form of large reserves face small or no costs from late budgets.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: EPRU Working Paper Series ; No. 2010-11

Classification
Wirtschaft
State and Local Budget and Expenditures
National Budget; Budget Systems
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Subject
fiscal governance
political deadlock
late budgets
fiscal stalemate
Chubb relative value survey
debt cost
bond spreads
Finanzpolitik
Öffentliche Schulden
Kapitalkosten
Länderfinanzen
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Andersen, Asger Lau
Dreyer Lassen, David
Holbøll Westh Nielsen, Lasse
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Copenhagen, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU)
(where)
Copenhagen
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Andersen, Asger Lau
  • Dreyer Lassen, David
  • Holbøll Westh Nielsen, Lasse
  • University of Copenhagen, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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