Arbeitspapier

Relative pricing and risk premia in equity volatility markets

This paper provides empirical evidence that volatility markets are integrated through the time-varying term structure of variance risk premia. These risk premia predict the returns from selling volatility for different horizons, maturities, and products, including variance swaps, straddles, and VIX futures. In addition, the paper derives a closed-form relationship between the prices of variance swaps and VIX futures. While tightly linked, VIX futures exhibit deviations of varying significance from the no-arbitrage prices and bounds implied by the variance swap market. The paper examines these pricing errors and their relationship to VIX futures' return predictability.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Staff Report ; No. 867

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Econometrics
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing; option pricing
Subject
variance swaps
term structure
variance risk premium
VIX futures
options
return predictability

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Van Tassel, Peter
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(where)
New York, NY
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Van Tassel, Peter
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Time of origin

  • 2018

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