Arbeitspapier

An iron law of currency crisis: the divergence of the nominal and the real exchange rate and increasing current account deficits

The currency crises of the 1990s all exhibit a divergence of the nominal and the real exchange rate together with an increase in the negative current account. The nominal rate does not reflect inflation differences fully and the ensuing real appreciation leads to a negative current account. This pattern holds for the Czech, the Mexican, Brazilian, Argentinian as well as the South Korean currency crises. It seems to be an iron law of currency crises.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1106

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
real exchange rate
devaluation
currency crisis
Währungskrise
Kaufkraftparität
Leistungsbilanz
Abwertung
Mexiko
Brasilien
Argentinien
Südkorea
Tschechische Republik

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Siebert, Horst
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute of World Economics (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Siebert, Horst
  • Kiel Institute of World Economics (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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