Arbeitspapier

Expected net present value, expected net future value, and the Ramsey rule

Weitzman (1998) showed that when future interest rates are uncertain, using the expected net present value implies a term structure of discount rates that is decreasing to the smallest possible interest rate. On the contrary, using the expected net future value criterion implies an increasing term structure of discount rates up to the largest possible interest rate. We reconcile the two approaches by introducing risk aversion and risk-neutral probabilities. We show that if the aggregate consumption path is optimized, the two criteria are equivalent. Moreover, they are also equivalent to the Ramsey rule extended to uncertainty.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 2643

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
Thema
discount rate
asset price
Ramsey rule
cost-benefit analysis
Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse
Dynamische Investitionsrechnung
Abzinsung
Zinsstruktur
Optimale Besteuerung
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gollier, Christian
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2009

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Gollier, Christian
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2009

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