Arbeitspapier

Understanding international long-term interest rate comovement

Long-term interest rates of small open economies correlate strongly with the US long-term rate. Can central banks in those countries decouple from the US? An estimated DSGE model for the UK (vis-`a-vis the US) establishes three structural empirical results. (1) Comovement arises due to nominal fluctuations, not through real rates or term premia. (2) The cause of comovement is the central bank of the small open economy accommodating foreign inflation trends, rather than systematically curbing them. (3) Small open economies may find themselves much more affected by changes in US inflation trends than the US itself.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2018/19

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
International Finance: General
International Business Cycles
Economic Impacts of Globalization: Finance
International Financial Markets
Thema
DSGE Model
Small Open Economy
Yield Curve
Long-Term Interest Rates
Term Premia
Comovement

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Chin, Michael
De Graeve, Ferre
Filippeli, Thomai
Theodoridis, Konstantinos
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(wo)
Cardiff
(wann)
2018

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Chin, Michael
  • De Graeve, Ferre
  • Filippeli, Thomai
  • Theodoridis, Konstantinos
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Entstanden

  • 2018

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