Arbeitspapier

Food prices and political instability

We examine the effects that variations in the international food prices have on democracy and intra-state conflict using panel data for over 120 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that in Low Income Countries increases in the international food prices lead to a significant deterioration of democratic institutions and a significant increase in the incidence of anti-government demonstrations, riots, and civil conflict. In the High Income Countries variations in the international food prices have no significant effects on democratic institutions and measures of intra-state conflict. Our empirical results point to a significant externality of variations in international food prices on Low Income Countries' social and political stability.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3544

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth
Economic Systems: General
Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics: General
Subject
food prices
conflict
political institutions
Nahrungsmittelpreis
Politische Stabilität
Sozialer Konflikt
Demokratie
Niedriglohnländer
Industriestaaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Arezki, Rabah
Brückner, Markus
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Arezki, Rabah
  • Brückner, Markus
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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