Arbeitspapier

Fickle Fossils. Economic Growth, Coal and the European Oil Invasion, 1900-2015

Fossil fuels have shaped the European economy since the industrial revolution. We use new long-run panel data to analyse the effect of both, coal and oil on economic growth between 1900 and 2015, exploiting variation at the level of European NUTS2 and NUTS3 regions. We show that the reversal of fortune of coal regions resulted from the second energy transition. Specifically, an "oil invasion" in the early 1960s turned regional coal abundance from a blessing into a curse. Human capital accumulation contributed to this reversal of fortune and fully explains the negative effects until today. Moreover, we find substantial heterogeneity between former coal regions that is in line with Glaeser's "reinvention hypothesis": regions with a higher skill-level adjusted much better to the decline of coal. In particular, we show that coal regions with a higher urban density before 1800 were much more resilient than others.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10805

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
Environment and Growth
Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: Europe: 1913-
General Regional Economics (includes Regional Data)
Education and Economic Development
Subject
coal
oil invasion
second energy transition
education
reinvention
growth

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fritzsche, Miriam
Wolf, Nikolaus
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fritzsche, Miriam
  • Wolf, Nikolaus
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2023

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