Arbeitspapier

Financial Crisis and Sticky Expectations

We utilize the Kalman filter and instrumental variable methods to estimate consumption growth persistence for the U.S. Results show that prior to the financial crisis, the stickiness parameter beta was around 0.7. However, when the sample is extended until 2009.Q1, the estimates of beta declined to around 0.5. Extending the sample beyond 2009.Q1 show mild increase in beta. Our findings imply that during the crisis consumers' attentiveness to aggregate information has slightly increased, thereby reducing the persistence of aggregate consumption growth.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 2013/05

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
financial crisis
Kalman filter
sticky expectations

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kumar, Saten
Owen, Barrett
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Auckland University of Technology (AUT), Faculty of Business, Economics and Law
(where)
Auckland
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kumar, Saten
  • Owen, Barrett
  • Auckland University of Technology (AUT), Faculty of Business, Economics and Law

Time of origin

  • 2013

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