Arbeitspapier

The dynamics of linking permit markets

We present a novel benefit of linking emission permit markets. We consider a dynamic setting, and let the countries issue permits non-cooperatively. With exogenous technology levels, there are only gains from permit trade if countries are different. With endogenous technology, however, we show that there are gains from trade even if countries are identical. In this case, linking the permit markets of different countries will turn permit issuance into intertemporal strategic complements: If one country issues fewer permits today, other countries will respond by issuing fewer permits in the future. This happens because issuing fewer permits today increases current investments in green energy capacity in all permit market countries, and countries with a higher green energy capacity will respond by issuing fewer permits in the future. Hence, each country faces incentives to withhold emission permits. Even though countries cannot commit to reducing their own emission, or punish other countries that do not, the outcome is reduced emissions, higher investments, and increased welfare, compared to a benchmark with only domestic permit trade. The more frequently participating countries reset their caps, the higher the gain from linking permit markers.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Memorandum ; No. 2/2015

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
International Fiscal Issues; International Public Goods
Subject
international agreements
permit markets
dynamic games
green technology investments

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Holtsmark, Katinka
Midttømme, Kristoffer
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Oslo, Department of Economics
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Holtsmark, Katinka
  • Midttømme, Kristoffer
  • University of Oslo, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2015

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