Arbeitspapier

Nested Pseudo-likelihood Estimation and Bootstrap-based Inference for Structural Discrete Markov Decision Models

This paper analyzes the higher-order properties of nested pseudo-likelihood (NPL) estimators and their practical implementation for parametric discrete Markov decision models in which the probability distribution is defined as a fixed point. We propose a new NPL estimator that can achieve quadratic convergence without fully solving the fixed point problem in every iteration. We then extend the NPL estimators to develop one-step NPL bootstrap procedures for discrete Markov decision models and provide some Monte Carlo evidence based on a machine replacement model of Rust (1987). The proposed one-step bootstrap test statistics and confidence intervals improve upon the first order asymptotics even with a relatively small number of iterations. Improvements are particularly noticeable when analyzing the dynamic impacts of counterfactual policies.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Queen's Economics Department Working Paper ; No. 1063

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Estimation: General
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Statistical Simulation Methods: General
Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Thema
Edgeworth expansion
k-step bootstrap
maximum pseudo-likelihood estimators
nested fixed point algorithm
Newton-Raphson method
policy iteration

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kasahara, Hiroyuki
Shimotsu, Katsumi
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Queen's University, Department of Economics
(wo)
Kingston (Ontario)
(wann)
2006

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kasahara, Hiroyuki
  • Shimotsu, Katsumi
  • Queen's University, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2006

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