Arbeitspapier

On real interest rates, tariff policy, exchange rates and the ZLB

What could be the drivers of low real rates? What are the implications of the Zero Lower Bound for economic policy? To discuss these questions we introduce a full general equilibrium model of the world economy with a simple (2 period) intertemporal structure. The model is simple enough to allow for full analytical solution yet sufficiently complex to allow us to address the impact of anticipated future productivity slow down, aging, structural reform and fiscal policy on real interest rates if markets clear and on aggregate economic activity if they do not because of the ZLB. We extend both the equilibrium model and the ZLB variant to a more-goods-per-period set up with complete specialization to address (real) exchange rate policy and the macroeconomic impact of trade tariffs.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. TI 2018-032/VI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General
Subject
equilibrium real interest rates
aging
productivity change
the ZLB
real exchange rates
import tariffs

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van Wijnbergen, Sweder
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van Wijnbergen, Sweder
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2018

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