Arbeitspapier
Information and the Formation of Inflation Expectations by Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Israeli Firms
This study analyzes how firms form their inflation expectations during a regime change in monetary policy and a transition to a low-inflation environment. Using the Bank of Israel survey of firms, we document the basic properties of firms' inflation expectations and examine how Israeli firms update their inflation expectations after receiving new information about inflation or monetary policy. We find that even after successful de-dollarization and disinflation a positive inflation surprise leads to a sizable upward adjustment in inflation expectations for the next year and quarter. A surprise hike in the monetary interest rate leads to a downward adjustment in inflation expectations.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 16334
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
- Thema
-
monetary policy
surveys
firms
inflation expectations
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
Melnick, Rafi
Kutai, Ari
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
- (wo)
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Bonn
- (wann)
-
2023
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
- Melnick, Rafi
- Kutai, Ari
- Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
Entstanden
- 2023