Arbeitspapier

Information and the Formation of Inflation Expectations by Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Israeli Firms

This study analyzes how firms form their inflation expectations during a regime change in monetary policy and a transition to a low-inflation environment. Using the Bank of Israel survey of firms, we document the basic properties of firms' inflation expectations and examine how Israeli firms update their inflation expectations after receiving new information about inflation or monetary policy. We find that even after successful de-dollarization and disinflation a positive inflation surprise leads to a sizable upward adjustment in inflation expectations for the next year and quarter. A surprise hike in the monetary interest rate leads to a downward adjustment in inflation expectations.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 16334

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Thema
monetary policy
surveys
firms
inflation expectations

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
Melnick, Rafi
Kutai, Ari
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2023

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
  • Melnick, Rafi
  • Kutai, Ari
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2023

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