Arbeitspapier

Refugees' and Irregular Migrants' Self-Selection into Europe: Who Migrates Where?

About 1.4 million refugees and irregular migrants arrived in Europe in 2015 and 2016. We model how refugees and irregular migrants are self-selected. Using unique datasets from the International Organization for Migration and Gallup World Polls, we provide the first large-scale evidence on reasons to emigrate, and the self-selection and sorting of refugees and irregular migrants for multiple origin and destination countries. Refugees and female irregular migrants are positively self-selected with respect to education, while male irregular migrants are not. We also find that both male and female migrants from major conflict countries are positively self-selected in terms of their predicted income. For countries with minor or no conflict, migrant and non-migrant men do not differ in terms of their income distribution, while women who emigrate are positively self-selected. We also analyze how border controls affect destination country choice.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7781

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Subject
refugees
self-selection
human capital
predicted income

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Aksoy, Cevat Giray
Poutvaara, Panu
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Aksoy, Cevat Giray
  • Poutvaara, Panu
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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