Arbeitspapier

Modeling and predicting market risk with Laplace-Gaussian mixture distributions

While much of classical statistical analysis is based on Gaussian distributional assumptions, statistical modeling with the Laplace distribution has gained importance in many applied fields. This phenomenon is rooted in the fact that, like the Gaussian, the Laplace distribution has many attractive properties. This paper investigates two methods of combining them and their use in modeling and predicting financial risk. Based on 25 daily stock return series, the empirical results indicate that the new models offer a plausible description of the data. They are also shown to be competitive with, or superior to, use of the hyperbolic distribution, which has gained some popularity in asset-return modeling and, in fact, also nests the Gaussian and Laplace.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CFS Working Paper ; No. 2005/11

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Econometric Modeling: General
Thema
GARCH
hyperbolic distribution
kurtosis
Laplace distribution
mixture distributions
stock market returns

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Haas, Markus
Mittnik, Stefan
Paolella, Marc S.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2005

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-10872
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Haas, Markus
  • Mittnik, Stefan
  • Paolella, Marc S.
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Entstanden

  • 2005

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