Arbeitspapier

The general equilibrium effects of the shale revolution

The shale revolution is gradually transforming the industrial structure of the United States. This paper quantifies these changes in a model in which industries are linked by productivity linkages. In this framework, productivity gains in one industry may spill over to other industries. For 2015 (the most recent data available), we find that the shale revolution raised US relative wages by around 0.84 percent, whereas Mexican and Canadian wages declined by 1.12 and 1.43 percent, respectively. Judging by countries' ability to sell goods to the US, China is the main beneficiary of the shale revolution with increased US exports of more than $14 billion (7 percent) in 2015. At the same time, the US automobile industry lost sales of more than $65 billion (almost 10 percent) because of the shale revolution.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: AWI Discussion Paper Series ; No. 694

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Neoclassical Models of Trade
Economywide Country Studies: General
Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics: Industrial Structure and Structural Change; Industrial Price Indices
Resource Booms
Thema
Shale revolution
industry linkages
Ricardian trade
oil and gasproduction
structural change

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Eife, Thomas A.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics
(wo)
Heidelberg
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.11588/heidok.00029070
Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-290705
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Eife, Thomas A.
  • University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2020

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