Arbeitspapier

Tariffs and the exchange rate: Evidence from Twitter

This paper examines the conjecture that an increase in tariffs in a flexible exchange rate regime leads to the appreciation of the local currency. We focus on the reaction of the exchange rate market to tweets by US President Donald Trump regarding possible tariff increases on Canadian and Mexican goods. The anticipation of trade restrictions leads to the US dollar appreciating by 0.023% and 0.051% vis-à-vis the Canadian dollar and Mexican peso within five minutes of the tweet, and comparable percentages for forward rates up to five years ahead. Exchange rate appreciation may mitigate the expenditure-switching intended by the protectionist policy.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper ; No. 2021-36

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Foreign Exchange
Thema
Exchange rates
Trade integration

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Matveev, Dmitry
Ruge-Murcia, Francisco Javier
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Canada
(wo)
Ottawa
(wann)
2021

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2021-36
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Matveev, Dmitry
  • Ruge-Murcia, Francisco Javier
  • Bank of Canada

Entstanden

  • 2021

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