Arbeitspapier

Labor Market Institutions, Fiscal Multipliers, and Macroeconomic Volatility

We study empirically how various labor market institutions – (i) union density, (ii) unemployment benefit remuneration, and (iii) employment protection – shape fiscal multipliers and output volatility. Our theoretical model highlights that more stringent labor market institutions attenuate both fiscal spending multipliers and macroeconomic volatility. This is validated empirically by an interacted panel vector autoregressive model estimated for 16 OECD countries. The strongest effects emanate from employment protection, followed by union density. While some labor market institutions mitigate the contemporaneous impact of shocks, they, however, reinforce their propagation mechanism. The main policy implication is that stringent labor market institutions render cyclical fiscal policies less relevant for macroeconomic stabilization.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9749

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy
Subject
fiscal policy
fiscal multipliers
labor market institutions
interacted panel VAR

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Boeck, Maximilian
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús
Glocker, Christian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Boeck, Maximilian
  • Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús
  • Glocker, Christian
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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