Arbeitspapier

Unit root tests in three-regime SETAR models

This paper proposes a simple direct testing procedure to distinguish a linear unit root process from a globally stationary three-regime self-exciting threshold autoregressive process. We derive the asymptotic null distribution of the Wald statistic, and show that it does not depend on unknown fixed threshold values. Monte Carlo evidence clearly indicates that the exponential average of the Wald statistic is more powerful than the Dickey-Fuller test that ignores the threshold nature under the alternative.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 465

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Estimation: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Thema
Self-exciting threshold autoregressive models, Unit roots, Globally stationary processes, Threshold cointegration, Wald tests, Monte Carlo simulations, Real exchange rates
Unit Root Test
Monte-Carlo-Methode
Autokorrelation

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kapetanios, George
Shin, Yongcheol
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics
(wo)
London
(wann)
2002

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kapetanios, George
  • Shin, Yongcheol
  • Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2002

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