Arbeitspapier

Merchants of Doubt: Corporate Political Influence when Expert Credibility is Uncertain

A key role of science-based non-governmental organizations (NGOs) is to communicate scientific knowledge to policymakers. However, recent evidence has emerged showing that industry-backed groups often attempt to undermine the credibility of such NGOs and weaken their ability to influence policy. To investigate the mechanisms by which a firm can profitably create doubt about scientific information, we use a signaling model of interest-group lobbying in which the policymaker has fixed costs of taking action. We explore two mechanisms for the creation of doubt. The first involves using Bayesian persuasion to imply that the NGO may be a radical extremist whose lobbying is not credible. The second involves the creation of a think tank which can offer its own testimony on scientific matters. We show the firm prefers that the think tank does not act as a credible moderate, but instead sometimes takes radical, non-credible, positions. We identify conditions under which each mechanism is preferred by the firm.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6165

Classification
Wirtschaft
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Nonprofit Institutions; NGOs; Social Entrepreneurship
Environmental Economics: Government Policy
Subject
NGOs
public politics
lobbying

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Chiroleu-Assouline, Mireille
Lyon, Thomas P.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Chiroleu-Assouline, Mireille
  • Lyon, Thomas P.
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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