Arbeitspapier

Speculative behavior and the dynamics of interacting stock markets

We develop a simple agent-based financial market model in which heterogeneous speculators apply technical and fundamental analysis to trade in two different stock markets. Speculators' strategy/market selections are repeated at each time step and depend on predisposition effects, herding behavior and market circumstances. Simulations reveal that our model is able to explain a number of nontrivial statistical properties of and between international stock markets, including bubbles and crashes, fat-tailed return distributions, volatility clustering, persistent trading volume, coevolving stock prices and cross-correlated volatilities. Against this background, our model may be deemed to have been validated.

ISBN
978-3-943153-05-7
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: BERG Working Paper Series ; No. 90

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Expectations; Speculations
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Thema
stock markets
stylized facts
technical and fundamental analysis
agent-based modeling
bounded rationality
simulation analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Schmitt, Noemi
Westerhoff, Frank
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group (BERG)
(wo)
Bamberg
(wann)
2013

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Schmitt, Noemi
  • Westerhoff, Frank
  • Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group (BERG)

Entstanden

  • 2013

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