Artikel

News impact for Turkish food prices

Asymmetric volatility is a widely encountered concept particularly in financial series. It refers to the case that "bad news" generates more volatility than "good news" of equal magnitude. In an inflationary environment "bad news" is disclosed as increasing inflation that is expected to generate higher volatility. The present article examines whether unexpected price changes affect the volatility of prices asymmetrically for 90 retail food items of the Turkish consumer price index. These 90 food items have a weight of approximately 20 percent in headline consumer price index (CPI). We employ exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (EGARCH) model to extract asymmetric volatility, using monthly data between January 2003 and January 2017. Our results reveal that volatility of food prices respond asymmetrically to unexpected price shocks for 62 percent of the retail food items.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Central Bank Review (CBR) ; ISSN: 1303-0701 ; Volume: 17 ; Year: 2017 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 55-76 ; Amsterdam: Elsevier

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Food prices
Asymmetric volatility
EGARCH model
News impact

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Chadwick, Meltem
Bastan, Meltem
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Elsevier
(where)
Amsterdam
(when)
2017

DOI
doi:10.1016/j.cbrev.2017.05.001
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Chadwick, Meltem
  • Bastan, Meltem
  • Elsevier

Time of origin

  • 2017

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