Arbeitspapier

Persistence in world export patterns and productive capabilities across two globalizations

We construct a new global commodity-level export dataset to analyze the persistence of export patterns as proxies of productive capabilities across the first and the current waves of globalization. We find that productive capabilities are path-dependent and historical capabilities are powerful predictors of countries' incomes today. This is robust to controlling for persistence in geography, institutions, and colonial status, and confirmed by instrumenting past capabilities with asymmetric reductions in travel times following the switch from sailing to steamboats. We also show that the "great specialization" in primary goods and manufacturing goods exporters coincided with a great polarization in global diversification levels.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2022-11

Classification
Wirtschaft
Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
International Economic Order and Integration
Empirical Studies of Trade
Subject
persistence
globalization
productive capabilities
development
global export patterns

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Weber, Isabella
Semieniuk, Gregor
Liang, Junshang
Westland, Tom
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics
(where)
Amherst, MA
(when)
2022

DOI
doi:10.7275/t1w3-w223
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Weber, Isabella
  • Semieniuk, Gregor
  • Liang, Junshang
  • Westland, Tom
  • University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2022

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