Arbeitspapier

Closed-Form Integrated Assessment and Uncertainty

The paper derives the optimal carbon tax in closed-form from an integrated assessment of climate change. The formula shows how carbon, temperature, and economic dynamics quantify the optimal mitigation effort. The model’s descriptive power is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much higher than the gains from better measurements of carbon flows.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5464

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate
General Aggregative Models: Neoclassical
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: General‡
Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
Thema
climate change
integrated assessment
uncertainty
learning
risk aversion
recursive utility
social cost of carbon
carbon tax

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Traeger, Christian
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Traeger, Christian
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2015

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