Arbeitspapier

Market Segmentation and the `Hump-Shaped' Response of Output to Monetary Policy Shocks

In the data, after a contractionary monetary policy shock aggregate output decreases over time, with a trough after four to eight quarters. This paper replicates the `hump-shaped' response of output with a segmented markets model where part of the households are excluded from financial markets. A contractionary monetary policy shock is modeled as an unanticipated increase in the short-term nominal interest rate. Since households and firms need cash-in-advance to purchase consumption and hire labor, an increase in the nominal interest rate discourages the households' consumption demand and labor supply, and the firms' labor demand. In a benchmark full participation model, the effect is strongest in the impact period, and decays over time. When markets are segmented, however, the shock has an additional liquidity effect, increasing the real interest rate above fundamentals, and decreasing the growth rate of the participants' labor supply. As a result, the response of the aggregate labor and output has a trough several quarters after the shock. The model is able to replicate the sign, the magnitude and the persistence of the responses of output, money, prices and interest rates. It can generate a positive response of the real interest rate together with a negative response of the output growth rate.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2004-10

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Thema
limited participation
segmented markets
hump-shaped delayed response
monetary policy shocks
persistence
Marktsegmentierung
Geldpolitik
Schock
Cash-in-Advance-Modell
Arbeitsangebot

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Occhino, Filippo
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Rutgers University, Department of Economics
(wo)
New Brunswick, NJ
(wann)
2004

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Occhino, Filippo
  • Rutgers University, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2004

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