Arbeitspapier

Inflation, Endogenous Market Segmentation and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

The term structure of interest rates does not adhere to the expectations hypothesis, possibly due to a risk premium. We consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation, the risk premium is constant. If inflation is correlated, however, the risk premium becomes time varying and we can rationalize the failure of the expectations hypothesis. Indirect empirical tests of the model’s implications are provided.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 15-066/VI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Thema
Expectations hypothesis
Term structure
Time-Varying Risk Premia
Segmented markets
Inflation

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
de Vries, Casper
Wang, Xuedong
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Tinbergen Institute
(wo)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • de Vries, Casper
  • Wang, Xuedong
  • Tinbergen Institute

Entstanden

  • 2015

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