Arbeitspapier

Central bank information and private-sector expectations

Jarocinski and Karadi (2020) disentangle a pure information from the interest rate component of monetary policy surprises. This note quantifies the information revealed in FOMC announcements using forecast revisions from Blue Chip Economic Indicators. In response to a positive central bank information shock, survey participants revise their now- and short-term forecasts of real GDP growth upwards, while the corresponding revisions in the growth rate of the GDP de ator are mostly statistically insignificant.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2007

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
General Outlook and Conditions
Subject
Blue Chip Economic Indicators
Central bank information shocks
Forecast revisions

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Güntner, Jochen
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Johannes Kepler University of Linz, Department of Economics
(where)
Linz
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Güntner, Jochen
  • Johannes Kepler University of Linz, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2020

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