Konferenzbeitrag

Entry and Shakeout in Dynamic Oligopoly

In many industries, the number of firms evolves non-monotonically over time. A phase of rapid entry is followed by an industry shakeout: a large number of firms exit within a short period. We present a simple timing game of entry and exit with an exogenous technological process governing firm effi- ciency. We calibrate our model to data from the post World War II penicillin industry. The equilibrium dynamics of the calibrated model closely match the patterns observed in many industries. In particular, our model gener- ates richer and more realistic dynamics than competitive models previously analyzed. The entry phase is characterized by preemption motives while the shakeout phase mimics a war of attrition. We show that dynamic strategic incentives accelerate early entry and trigger the shakeout by comparing a Markov Perfect Equilibrium to an Open-loop Equilibrium.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2015: Ökonomische Entwicklung - Theorie und Politik - Session: Industrial Organization I ; No. A11-V3

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
Economic Development: General
Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Schmidt-Dengler, Philipp
Hünermund, Paul
Takahashi, Yuya
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Konferenzbeitrag

Beteiligte

  • Schmidt-Dengler, Philipp
  • Hünermund, Paul
  • Takahashi, Yuya

Entstanden

  • 2015

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