Arbeitspapier

Procyclical leverage in Europe and its role in asset pricing

Broker-dealer leverage has recently proven to be strongly procyclical, exhibiting impressive explanatory power for a large cross-section of asset returns in the US. In this paper we add empirical evidence to this finding, showing that European and German broker-dealers actively manage their balance sheets. Moreover, by applying standard Fama-MacBeth regressions as well as dynamic asset pricing models (Adrian, Crump, and Moench, 2015), we confirm the importance of brokerdealer balance-sheet indicators for asset pricing. In particular, leverage shows a procyclical behavior with a positive price of risk. Moreover, high leverage coincides with high asset prices, thereby forecasting lower future returns.

ISBN
978-3-95729-570-5
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 10/2019

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Subject
broker-dealer leverage
intermediary asset pricing
dynamic asset pricing

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Baltzer, Markus
Koehl, Alexandra
Reitz, Stefan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Baltzer, Markus
  • Koehl, Alexandra
  • Reitz, Stefan
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Time of origin

  • 2019

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