Arbeitspapier

Reaching national Kyoto-targets in Germany by maintaining a sustainable development

Within this paper, we analyse the fulfilment of the Kyoto-emissions reduction com-mitment exemplary in Germany and its implication on long-term paths of all macro-variables. Germany, like all other industrial or Annex B coun-tries, has to reduce its emissions by 2010 and after what we call a "Kyoto-forever-scenario". We exemplary investigate tradable permits as reduction measures in a national OverLapping Generations (OLG)-model, where we change the discounting technique by using generation adjusted discounting (GAD) in comparison to conventional OLG-models. We show that within our model-framework Germany is able to develop along growing paths of e.g. GDP in sharp contrast to conventional results of OLG-simulations. At the same time, nowadays living generations have to share higher burdens in terms of lower GDP, per capita consumption and employment which can be interpreted, firstly, as contemporary costs for reaching sustainable paths and, secondly, contributions for internalising intertemporal external effects. However, all costs in terms of lower macro-variables for current living generations are overcompensated by higher future values of them. This effect can be interpreted as intertemporal application of full cost-bearance, or, in other words, the polluter pay principle which is oriented on the sustainability of GHG abatement.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Nota di Lavoro ; No. 98. 2000

Classification
Wirtschaft
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
Renewable Resources and Conservation: Government Policy
Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Government Policy
Energy: Government Policy
Subject
OLG-models
discounting
sustainability
climate change
Kyoto targets
Klimaschutz
Luftreinhaltung
Treibhausgas-Emissionen
Emissionshandel
Overlapping Generations
Soziale Diskontrate
Wirkungsanalyse
Nachhaltige Entwicklung
Theorie
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bayer, Stefan
Kemfert, Claudia
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
(where)
Milano
(when)
2000

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bayer, Stefan
  • Kemfert, Claudia
  • Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)

Time of origin

  • 2000

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