Arbeitspapier

Does government ideology matter in monetary policy? A panel data analysis for OECD countries

This paper examines whether government ideology has influenced monetary policy in OECD countries. We use quarterly data in the 1980.1-2005.4 period and exclude EMU countries. Our Taylor-rule specification focuses on the interactions of a new time-variant index of central bank independence with government ideology. The results show that leftist governments have somewhat lower short-term nominal interest rates than rightwing governments when central bank independence is low. In contrast, short-term nominal interest rates are higher under leftist governments when central bank independence is high. The effect is more pronounced when exchange rates are flexible. Our findings are compatible with the view that leftist governments, in an attempt to deflect blame of their traditional constituencies, have pushed market-oriented policies by delegating monetary policy to conservative central bankers.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 1180

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Thema
Monetary policy
Taylor rule
government ideology
partisan politics
central bank independence
panel data

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Belke, Ansgar
Potrafke, Niklas
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2011

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Belke, Ansgar
  • Potrafke, Niklas
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Entstanden

  • 2011

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