Arbeitspapier

Fertility Decisions and Employment Protection: The Unintended Consequences of the Italian Jobs Act

We study the effect of a reduction in employment protection on fertility decisions. Using data from the Italian Labor Force Survey for the years 2013-2018, we analyze how the propensity to have a child has been affected by the 2015 Labor Market Reform, the so-called "Jobs Act", which has essentially reduced the employment protection for large-firm employees and leaved largely unchanged that for small-firm ones. We employ a Difference-in-Differences identification strategy and compare the average change over time in fertility decisions of women employed in large firms with the average change experienced by women employed in small firms. We find that women exposed to the reduction in employment protection have a 1.4 percentage point lower probability of having a child than unexposed women. A battery of robustness checks confirms this finding. We document large heterogeneous effects by marital status, parity, geographic areas as well as by the level of education and wage. Our findings help understand the potential unintended consequences that reforms introducing more labor market flexibility have on fertility decisions by increasing insecurity on career prospects.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 12991

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings
Labor Contracts
Personnel Economics: Firm Employment Decisions; Promotions
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
Thema
fertility
employment protection legislation
labor market reform
difference-in-differences

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
De Paola, Maria
Nistico, Roberto
Scoppa, Vincenzo
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • De Paola, Maria
  • Nistico, Roberto
  • Scoppa, Vincenzo
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2020

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