Arbeitspapier

On the economic effects of a reallocation of EU cohesion policy expenditures

This paper analyses the economic effects of a reallocation of Cohesion Policy expenditures across EU countries. We evaluate a shift from stronger (i.e. older) Member States to less-developed EU economies (i.e. CEE countries) and vice versa. On top of that, we also assess the effects of a general reduction in the Cohesion Policy budget. For evaluation, we construct a demand-driven macroeconomic model which spans country models of 21 EU economies and is calibrated based on empirical data for the period 1995- 2018. Our results suggest that a shift of Cohesion Policy funds to more (less) developed countries would result in a higher (lower) overall short-run economic performance. However, the reallocation would affect economic outcomes in EU economies unevenly. In addition to direct effects on demand and production, it is pivotal to take into account indirect effects via trade as well. As a result, Cohesion Policy seems to be confronted with a trade-off between long-run convergence and short-run economic performance.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: wiiw Working Paper ; No. 183

Classification
Wirtschaft
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
Subject
Cohesion Policy
Macroeconomic Models
Reallocation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Jestl, Stefan
Römisch, Roman
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)
(where)
Vienna
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Jestl, Stefan
  • Römisch, Roman
  • The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)

Time of origin

  • 2020

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