Arbeitspapier

Long-Term versus Short-Term Contingencies in Asset Allocation

We determine the importance of long-term and short-term components of state variables for asset allocation decisions. The long-term and short-term decompositions are performed using a variety of filtering techniques. We allow for a flexible semiparametric form of the dependence of asset allocation decisions on state variable components. To account for short-sale restrictions, we extend the regular GMM moment conditions with the appropriate Lagrange-Kuhn-Tucker multipliers. Empirically, we find that investors can benefit from reacting differently to short-term versus long-term dynamics of state variables. The induced allocation decisions are implemented in an investment backtest. We find significant improvements in terms of out-of-sample Sharpe ratios and expected utilities for state variables such as the dividend yield and stock market trend.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 12-053/2/DSF34

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Thema
Portfolio choice
long and short-term asset allocation
trend-cycle decomposition
GMM under short-sale constraints
Portfolio-Management
Momentenmethode
Nichtparametrisches Verfahren
Dekompositionsverfahren

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Botshekan, Mahmoud
Lucas, Andre
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Tinbergen Institute
(wo)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(wann)
2012

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Botshekan, Mahmoud
  • Lucas, Andre
  • Tinbergen Institute

Entstanden

  • 2012

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