Arbeitspapier

Job polarisation and household borrowing

The last few decades have been accompanied by disruptive changes to the structure of employment which have led to deterioration in demand for middle-skill occupations, a process known as job polarisation. As the demand for middle-skill workers shrinks, expectations about households' income through their lifetime horizon are adjusted. It is unclear whether these expectations can loop back into the credit system, and affect the lending behaviour of credit institutions, or whether this process impacts on the households' self-assessment of their opportunities to borrow money. In this paper, we study how the process of job polarisation affects credit demand and supply, studying its relationship with credit constraint and credit quality.

ISBN
978-92-899-5267-5
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 2683

Classification
Wirtschaft
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Expectations; Speculations
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Subject
Job polarisation
Job security
Household credit
Employment expectations

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cantarella, Michele
Kavonius, Ilja Kristian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2022

DOI
doi:10.2866/092600
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cantarella, Michele
  • Kavonius, Ilja Kristian
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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