Artikel

What moves the Beveridge curve and the Phillips curve: An agent-based analysis

Understanding what moves the Phillips curve is important to monetary policy. Because the Phillips curve has experienced over time movements similar to those characterizing the Beveridge curve, the authors jointly analyze the two phenomena. They do that through an agent-based macro model based on adaptive micro-foundations, which works fairly well in replicating a number of stylized facts, including the Beveridge curve, the Phillips curve and the Okun curve. By Monte Carlo experiments they explore the mechanisms behind the movements of the Beveridge curve and the Phillips curve. They discovered that shifts of the Beveridge curve are best explained by the intensity of worker reallocation. Reallocation also shifts the Phillips curve in the same direction, suggesting that it may be the reason behind the similarity of the patterns historically recorded for these two curves. This finding may shed new light on what moves the Phillips curve and might have direct implications for the conduction of monetary policy.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal ; ISSN: 1864-6042 ; Volume: 12 ; Year: 2018 ; Issue: 2018-2 ; Pages: 1-30 ; Kiel: Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Exchange and Production Economies
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General
Labor Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Thema
Beveridge curve
Phillips curve
labor market dynamics
agent-based simulations
sensitivity analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Chen, Siyan
Desiderio, Saul
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2018

DOI
doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2018-2
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Chen, Siyan
  • Desiderio, Saul
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2018

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