Arbeitspapier

Secular stagnation in an economy with land

I present a model of secular stagnation with land and infinitely-lived agents with wealth preferences. Land is the prime example of a non-producible productive asset and rules out a negative real interest rate in steady state. With standard wealth preferences, higher land prices stimulate consumption and full employment is always feasible in steady state unless the central bank follows a deflationary policy. In contrast, secular stagnation emerges as the unique equilibrium of the monetary economy if wealth preferences are insatiable. In contrast to conventional wisdom, it is very existence of land itself that prevents full employment from being feasible in this case. Increases in the inflation target are no longer effective in restoring full employment as stagnation is a real phenomenon. These conclusions hold if households require a risk premium on land. Then, a higher risk premium can restore full employment when wealth preferences are insatiable.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ISER Discussion Paper ; No. 1032

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Thema
Secular Stagnation
Wealth Preferences
Rational Bubbles
Land

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Schlegl, Matthias
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Osaka University, Institute of Social and Economic Research (ISER)
(wo)
Osaka
(wann)
2018

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Schlegl, Matthias
  • Osaka University, Institute of Social and Economic Research (ISER)

Entstanden

  • 2018

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